A 5-Year Projection of the Number of Children Reaching Age 18 while in Foster Care


Chapin Hall

The number of children who will age out of foster care will begin to decline and eventually level off over the next several years, according to this new report from Chapin Hall.

The projection – based on these three variables: the number of children entering foster care, the ages of these children entering foster care and how long they stay in care – comes from state agency data for 2002 through 2008 and is used to project aging-out totals for 2009 to 2013.

Chapin Hall, a University of Chicago-based policy research center that includes such youth issues as child maltreatment prevention, child welfare systems and foster care among its focus areas, writes that a more accurate projection would require at least two decades worth of observation, but all factors studied in this six-year period point toward a decline in youth aging out, followed by a plateau between 2011 and 2013.

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